Linking a Solar Wind Model With an Empirical Prediction Model of MeV Electron Intensity at the Geostationary Altitude

Details Linking a Solar Wind Model With an Empirical Prediction Model of MeV Electron Intensity at the Geostationary Altitude Linking a Solar Wind Model With an Empirical Prediction Model of MeV Electron Intensity at the Geostationary Altitude

Dec 2004

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2004agufmsa43b..04h&link_type=abstract

American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2004, abstract #SA43B-04

Other

2720 Energetic Particles, Trapped, 2722 Forecasting, 2788 Storms And Substorms

Scientific paper

Prediction of MeV electron intensity at the geostationary altitude constitutes an integral part of space weather forecast. Several techniques have been developed to forecast MeV electron intensity at this altitude. In this work, we present a semi-empirical technique to forecast the daily average MeV electron intensity at geostationary orbit with linkage to a solar wind model. The accuracy of the prediction procedure will be determined as a whole as well as for each of the two components of this prediction scheme. Comparison of this technique with others will also be discussed.

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