Mathematics – Logic
Scientific paper
Dec 2004
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2004agufmsa42a..07p&link_type=abstract
American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2004, abstract #SA42A-07
Mathematics
Logic
2409 Current Systems (2708), 2788 Storms And Substorms, 1515 Geomagnetic Induction
Scientific paper
In October 30, 2003, an ongoing geomagnetic superstorm knocked down a part of the high-voltage power transmission system in southern Sweden operated by the Sydkraft company. The blackout lasted for an hour and left about 50000 people without electricity. The incident was probably the most severe GIC failure observed since the well-known March 1989 Québec blackout and thus the problems in a Swedish system deserve a closer look. The geophysical background and the impacts on the Swedish high-voltage power transmission system of the October 29-31, 2003 geomagnetic storm are described in the study at hand. It was seen that athough no serious problems in North-America have been reported, the "three-phase" storm produced exceptionally large geomagnetic activity at the Fennoscandian auroral region.
It was also seen that GIC modeled for southern Sweden region using very simplistic methods were able to explain the times of the failures in the Swedish system thus confirming the sources of experienced problems and adding also GIC to the long list of causes of technological impacts of the storm. Though the great diversity of the GIC drivers are addresses in the study, the problems in operating the Swedish system during the exceptionally intense storm of October 29-31, 2003 are attributed geophysically to substorms, SSCs and enhanced ionospheric convection all of which were creating large and complex geoelectric fields capable of driving large GIC. Based on the basic two-fold nature of the failure-related geoelectric field characteristics, a semi-deterministic approach for forecasting GIC-related geomagnetic activity in which average overall activity is supplemented with statistical estimations of the amplitudes of GIC fluctuations is suggested.
Lindahl S.
Pirjola Risto
Pulkkinen Aappo
Viljanen Ari
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