Current Forecast for Sunspot Cycle 24 Parameters

Details Current Forecast for Sunspot Cycle 24 Parameters Current Forecast for Sunspot Cycle 24 Parameters

Mar 2010

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2010aipc.1216..671a&link_type=abstract

TWELFTH INTERNATIONAL SOLAR WIND CONFERENCE. AIP Conference Proceedings, Volume 1216, pp. 671-674 (2010).

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astronomy

2

Sunspots, Solar Activity, Satellites, Artificial, Solar Magnetism, Astronomical Observatories, Sun Spots, Solar Cycles, Solar Activity, Artificial Earth Satellites, Electric And Magnetic Fields, Solar Magnetism, Observatories And Site Testing

Scientific paper

Our prediction for the development of sunspot cycle 23 activity came true; one of the very few to have attained this status. We use the 3-cycle quasi-periodicity observed in the planetary index Ap. We improve our method by including data for 150 years and draw inferences as to what to expect for the development phase of cycle 24. Our forecast for the smoothed sunspot number at cycle 24 peak 78+/-5 in June 2013; the possibility that next three cycles may be progressively less active cannot be ruled out; the trend may possibly continue for the rest of the 21st century.

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