Two papers on the methods of evaluating the quality of solar proton event forecasting from the People's Republic of China

Details Two papers on the methods of evaluating the quality of solar proton event forecasting from the People's Republic of China Two papers on the methods of evaluating the quality of solar proton event forecasting from the People's Republic of China

Oct 1979

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1979tpme.book.....c&link_type=abstract

Two papers on the methods of evaluating the quality of solar proton event forecasts from the People's Republic of China / by Zhe

Statistics

Applications

Ionospheric Disturbances, Periodic Variations, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Random Processes, Solar Flares, Solar Protons, Applications Of Mathematics, Forecasting, Solar Radiation

Scientific paper

The common criteria used to evaluate the accuracy of solar proton event forecasts and discuss their defects is reviewed. The concept of random forecast is introduced, and a combined indicator which can give a more reasonable assessment of the quality of forecasts is proposed. An improved indicator for evaluating the quality of solar proton event forecasts is included.

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