Nonlinear historical superprocess approximations for population models with past dependence

Details Nonlinear historical superprocess approximations for population models with past dependence Nonlinear historical superprocess approximations for population models with past dependence

2011-07-11

arxiv.org/abs/1107.2052v2

Mathematics

Probability

31 pages

Scientific paper

We are interested in the evolving genealogy of a birth and death process with trait structure and ecological interactions. Traits are hereditarily transmitted from a parent to its offspring unless a mutation occurs. The dynamics may depend on the trait of the ancestors and on its past and allows interactions between individuals through their lineages. We define an interacting historical particle process describing the genealogies of the living individuals; it takes values in the space of point measures on an infinite dimensional c\`adl\`ag path space. This individual-based process can be approximated by a nonlinear historical superprocess, under the assumptions of large populations, small individuals and allometric demographies. Because of the interactions, the branching property fails and we use martingale problems and fine couplings between our population and independent branching particles. Our convergence theorem is illustrated by two examples of current interest in Biology. The first one relates the biodiversity history of a population and its phylogeny, while the second treats of a spatial model with competition between individuals through their past trajectories.

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