Observations on Complexity and Costs for Over Three Decades of Communications Satellites

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

This paper takes an objective look at approximately thirty communications satellites built over three decades using a complexity index as an economic model. The complexity index is derived from a number of technical parameters including dry mass, end-of-life- power, payload type, communication bands, spacecraft lifetime, and attitude control approach. Complexity is then plotted versus total satellite cost and development time (defined as contract start to first launch). A comparison of the relative cost and development time for various classes of communications satellites and conclusions regarding dependence on system complexity are presented. Observations regarding inherent differences between commercially acquired systems and those procured by government organizations are also presented. A process is described where a new communications system in the formative stage may be compared against similarly "complex" missions of the recent past to balance risk within allotted time and funds. 1

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