Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Oct 2010
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2010dps....42.6005c&link_type=abstract
American Astronomical Society, DPS meeting #42, #60.05; Bulletin of the American Astronomical Society, Vol. 42, p.1086
Mathematics
Probability
Scientific paper
Near-Earth asteroid 101955 (1999 RQ36; henceforth RQ36) is particularly interesting. It's especially accessible to spacecraft and is the primary target of NASA's OSIRIS-REx sample return mission; it's also a potentially hazardous asteroid (Milani et al. 2009). We combine dynamical and spectral information to identify the most likely main-belt origin of RQ36 and conclude that it is the Polana family, located at a semi-major axis of about 2.42 AU (our approach is similar to that used by de León et al. (2010) to link 3200 Phaethon, parent body of the Geminids, to 2 Pallas).
Our conclusion is based on the following results. a) Dynamical evidence favors strongly an inner-belt, low-inclination (2.15 AU < a < 2.5 AU and i < 10 degrees) origin, suggesting the ν6 resonance as the preferred (95% probability) delivery route. b) This region is dominated by the Nysa and Polana families (families are favored over single objects because small fragments have already been produced). c) The Polana family is characterized by low albedos and B-class spectra or colors (Bus and Binzel 2002), which is the same spectral class, and albedo, as RQ36. d) The SDSS colors show that the Polana family is the branch of the Nysa-Polana complex that extends toward the ν6 resonance; furthermore, Polana has delivered objects the size of RQ36 and larger into the ν6 resonance. e) RQ36 is retrograde, consistent with the Yarkovsky effect having moved it inward from Polana into the ν6. f) A quantitative comparison of visible and near-infrared spectra does not yield a unique match for RQ36; however, it is consistent with a compositional link between RQ36 and the Polana family.
Finally, the Polana Family is likely the most important inner-belt source of low albedo Near-Earth asteroids.
This work was supported by NASA and NSF.
Campins Humberto
de Leon Julia
Licandro Javier
Morbidelli Alessandro
Tsiganis Kleomenis
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