Statistics – Computation
Scientific paper
Jan 2006
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006e%26psl.241..634c&link_type=abstract
Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 241, Issue 3-4, p. 634-647.
Statistics
Computation
20
Scientific paper
Volcanic ash fallout represents a serious threat to people living near active volcanoes because it can produce several undesirable effects such as collapse of roofs by ash loading, respiratory sickness, air traffic disruption, or damage to agriculture. The assessment of such volcanic risk is therefore an issue of vital importance for public safety and its mitigation often requires to evaluate the temporal evolution of the phenomenon through reliable computational models. We develop an Eulerian model, named FALL3D, for the transport and deposition of volcanic ashes. The model is based on the advection diffusion sedimentation equation with a turbulent diffusion given by the gradient transport theory, a wind field obtained from a meteorological limited area model (LAM) and the source term derived from by buoyant plume theory. It can be used to forecast either ash concentration in the atmosphere or ash loading on the ground. Model inputs are topography, meteorological data given by a LAM, mass eruption rate, and a particle settling velocity distribution. A test application to the July 2001 Etna eruption is presented.
Costa Alfredo
Folch Arnau
Macedonio Giovanni
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