The rarity of DNA profiles

Statistics – Applications

Scientific paper

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Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/07-AOAS128 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Ins

Scientific paper

10.1214/07-AOAS128

It is now widely accepted that forensic DNA profiles are rare, so it was a
surprise to some people that different people represented in offender databases
are being found to have the same profile. In the first place this is just an
illustration of the birthday problem, but a deeper analysis must take into
account dependencies among profiles caused by family or population membership.

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