Study of solar-based inputs into space weather models that predict interplanetary shock-arrivals at Earth

Details Study of solar-based inputs into space weather models that predict interplanetary shock-arrivals at Earth Study of solar-based inputs into space weather models that predict interplanetary shock-arrivals at Earth

Sep 2003

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2003esasp.535..547s&link_type=abstract

In: Solar variability as an input to the Earth's environment. International Solar Cycle Studies (ISCS) Symposium, 23 - 28 June 2

Computer Science

3

Interplanetary Shocks, Coronal Mass Ejections

Scientific paper

We compare interplanetary shocks observed at Earth in the time period January through May 2002 with shock-arrivals predicted, in the operational environment, by an ensemble of numerical models. Inputs to the models include metric type II radio bursts and halo/partial halo CME observations. We assess the consequences of the arrival of these interplanetary shocks at Earth by the strength of the geomagnetic activity, measured by Kp, that follows the shocks. The aim of this work is to provide information on how solar observations can be parameterised for input into fully time dependent, 3D MHD modelling codes for forecasting purposes.

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