Mar 2006
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006ecgou..28..333v&link_type=abstract
"Formation planétaire et exoplanètes, Ecole thématique du CNRS, Goutelas (Loire), 23 - 27 mai 2005 Edited by J.-L. Halbwachs, D.
Other
Extra-Solar Planets
Scientific paper
We present here an overview and prospect of extrasolar planet detection, a young and promising field. This is not an easy task, firstly because only giant planets were discovered so far, and secondly because discoveries were made using mainly one dominant method.
In this paper we discuss the efficiency of the different techniques used up to date to detect extrasolar planets, and we try to estimate the discovery rate expected for the future and when, plausibly, another Earth might be found.
After a brief review on the available methods, we focus on the very meaning of astrophysical discoveries and we try to give a preliminary evaluation of the number of discoveries that might be made in the next decades, following the approach adopted by Martin Harwit in 1984.
The rate of discoveries and relative time scales, will be highly dependent on future instrumentation: in this context, possible time frames for future extrasolar planets detections are proposed here.
Halbwachs Jean-Louis
Vidal-Madjar Alfred
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