The unexpected 2004 Leonid meteor shower

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

In 2004 the Earth will encounter meteoroids released around the 1333 and 1733 returns of comet 55P/Tempel-Tuttle (respectively 20 and 8 orbital revolutions ago). The resulting enhancements in the Leonid ZHR profile will only be of the order of 10 (for the 20-rev) and a few tens (for 8-rev) above the Leonid background ZHR, and will rather diffuse, but should be observable. The 20-rev trail will be encountered in the early hours of November 19 and the 8-rev in late hours of the same date (UT). In this paper we compare details of the predictions from our three dynamical models.

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