Predicting the Space Environment: the CISM Experience and Perspective

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7900 Space Weather, 7904 Geomagnetically Induced Currents, 7924 Forecasting (2722), 7954 Magnetic Storms (2788), 7959 Models

Scientific paper

The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling (CISM) is an NSF Science and Technology Center that is a consortium of eleven institutions headed by Boston University. CISM focuses its activities around developing a suite of coupled, physics-based simulation models that describe the space environment from the Sun to the Earth. These models are being used as scientific tools to improve our understanding of the space environment, as education tools with which to help train the next generation of space scientists and space weather professionals, and as tools with which to predict the conditions in space. In this presentation we will first discuss forecasting needs and how physics-based models can and can't help. We will then describe CISM's collaboration with the Space Weather Prediction Center and others towards transitioning physics-based models into operational use and report on recent validation studies of CISM models and their usefulness as prediction tools.

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