How many more discoveries in the universe?

Details How many more discoveries in the universe? How many more discoveries in the universe?

Apr 1986

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1986natur.320..724h&link_type=abstract

Nature (ISSN 0028-0836), vol. 320, April 24, 1986, p. 724-726.

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astronomy

13

Astronomy, Celestial Bodies, Poisson Density Functions, Space Observations (From Earth), Detection

Scientific paper

A statistical approach is described which supports the conclusion that the number of phenomena already discovered represents an appreciable fraction of those that can be found. The work is based on the procedure of Harwit (1975, 1984) for estimating the number of observational phenomena remaining to be discovered in astronomy. Harwit's phenomena are defined by a list of 43 archetypes (tabulated), and it is estimated that this list contains approximately one-third of all observational phenomena of comparable importance that will ultimately become recognized. The procedure uses a Poisson statistical approach that has long been in use by ecologists, linguists and statisticians.

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