Leonid flashers-meteoroid impacts on the Moon.

Mathematics – Probability

Scientific paper

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Moon: Leonids, Moon: Impacts

Scientific paper

The authors examine the conditions under which optical impact flashes might be observable on the Moon's disk during the times of annual meteor shower activity. Their attention is primarily directed towards the Leonid shower given the high probability that it will undergo repeated outburst activity during the next several years. The Leonid stream to Moon encounter geometry is discussed, and it is found that the best probable times to perform optical surveys will be in 1999 and 2002. The authors estimate that a one kilogram Leonid meteoroid might produce a magnitude-2 optical transient on the Moon's disk.

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