Mathematics
Scientific paper
May 1978
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1978nosc.reptt....a&link_type=abstract
Interim Report, Jan. 1976 - Jan. 1978 Naval Ocean Systems Center, San Diego, CA.
Mathematics
Ionospheric Disturbances, Radio Frequency Interference, Short Wave Radio Transmission, Solar Activity, X Rays, Mathematical Models, Real Time Operation, Signal Fading
Scientific paper
A model is developed for predicting, in real time, the time-to-recovery for hf signals during a solar X-ray event. The model is designed to give predictions as early in the event as possible, and is backed by an update scheme to correct inaccurate predictions when such are recognized. The model was made possible by the fact that the recovery period of most solar X-ray events can be characterized by an exponential decay with one of four time constants. The choice of time constant can be made by using observations of the rise portion of the event.
Argo P. E.
Hill Richard J.
Rothmuller I. J.
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