Computer Science – Digital Libraries
Scientific paper
2011-10-09
Computer Science
Digital Libraries
The paper is forthcoming in El Profesional de la Informacion 21(1) (2012), pp. 27-33
Scientific paper
The new interface of the Web of Science (of Thomson Reuters) enables users to retrieve sets larger than 100,000 documents in a single search. This makes it possible to compare publication trends for China, the USA, EU-27, and a number of smaller countries. China no longer grew exponentially during the 2000s, but linearly. Contrary to previous predictions on the basis of exponential growth or Scopus data, the cross-over of the lines for China and the USA is postponed to the next decade (after 2020) according to this data. These long extrapolations, however, should be used only as indicators and not as predictions. Along with the dynamics in the publication trends, one also has to take into account the dynamics of the databases used for the measurement.
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