Wave-mechanical forecast of solar activity

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy

Scientific paper

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Markov Processes, Prediction Analysis Techniques, Secular Variations, Solar Cycles, Sunspot Cycle, Quantum Mechanics, Tables (Data), Twenty-Seven Day Variation

Scientific paper

The cyclic behavior of the yearly values of Wolf numbers is analyzed as a uniform Markovian process with two possible states which correspond to an increase or a decrease in value. The method of analysis is briefly outlined and illustrated. An ultralong-period forecast of increases and decreases in yearly Wolf numbers is made for the period from 1970 to 1996.

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