Verification of a Similar Cycle Prediction for the Ascending and Peak Phases of Solar Cycle 23

Details Verification of a Similar Cycle Prediction for the Ascending and Peak Phases of Solar Cycle 23 Verification of a Similar Cycle Prediction for the Ascending and Peak Phases of Solar Cycle 23

Oct 2002

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2002chjaa...2..396w&link_type=abstract

Chinese Journal of Astronomy & Astrophysics, Vol. 2, p. 396-398

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astrophysics

7

Sun: Sunspots, Solar-Terrestrial Relations

Scientific paper

Reviews of long-term predictions of solar cycles have shown that a precise prediction with a lead time of 2 years or more of a solar cycle remains an unsolved problem. We used a simple method, the method of similar cycles, to make long-term predictions of not only the maximum amplitude but also the smoothed monthly mean sunspot number for every month of Solar Cycle 23. We verify and compare our prediction with the latest available observational results.

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