Computer Science – Information Theory
Scientific paper
2012-01-11
Computer Science
Information Theory
Submitted to IEEE Transactions on Information Theory
Scientific paper
We propose four approaches to estimating the directed information rate between a pair of jointly stationary ergodic processes with the help of universal probability assignments. The four approaches yield estimators with different merits such as nonnegativity and boundedness. We establish consistency of these estimators in various senses and derive near-optimal rates of convergence in the minimax sense under mild conditions. The estimators carry over directly to estimating other information measures of stationary ergodic processes, such as entropy rate and mutual information rate, and provide alternatives to classical approaches in the existing literature. Guided by the theoretical results, we use context tree weighting as the vehicle for the implementations of the proposed estimators. Experiments on synthetic and real data are presented, demonstrating the potential of the proposed schemes in practice and the efficacy of directed information estimation as a tool for detecting and measuring causality and delay.
Jiao Jiantao
Kim Young-Han
Permuter Haim H.
Weissman Tsachy
Zhao Lei
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