Statistics – Methodology
Scientific paper
May 2005
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2005georl..3209701t&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 32, Issue 9, CiteID L09701
Statistics
Methodology
7
Global Change: Climate Variability (1635, 3305, 3309, 4215, 4513), Global Change: Climate Dynamics (0429, 3309), Global Change: Impacts Of Global Change (1225)
Scientific paper
An analysis of global temperature and ENSO data indicates that their relationship is more complicated than currently thought. Indeed, it appears that there are two complimenting aspects to this relation. The first (and known) aspect expresses the fact that global temperature increases after an El Nino event and a La Nina event follows an El Nino event. Thus, El Nino forces global temperature. While this is an important result, it is not the entire picture. If it were, ENSO would be independent of global temperature. The second aspect, which is proposed here, suggests a deeper connection between global temperature and ENSO. We find that ENSO is not independent and that positive (negative) global temperature tendency tends to trigger an El Nino (La Nina). Thus, in a warming climate El Nino events will be more frequent than La Nina events. The methodology presented in this paper may elucidate how realistically coupled ocean-atmosphere models simulate the response of climate to global change.
Elsner James B.
Hunt Andrew G.
Jagger T. H.
Tsonis Anastasios A.
No associations
LandOfFree
Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.
If you have personal experience with Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO will most certainly appreciate the feedback.
Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-1434945