Uncovering the intrinsic shapes of elliptical galaxies. 3: Practical modeling

Mathematics – Probability

Scientific paper

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Elliptical Galaxies, Galactic Structure, Kinematics, Three Dimensional Flow, Three Dimensional Models, Galactic Halos, Light Curve, Many Body Problem, Probability Density Functions, Velocity Measurement

Scientific paper

This is the third of a set of three papers that presents a new method for constraining the intrinsic shapes of elliptical galaxies through their apparent shapes and kinematics. Paper 1 developed a set of dynamical models; Paper 2 defined observable kinematic parameters that can be used for rough estimates of the axis ratios of real galaxies. This third paper presents a method of model fitting that compares models and data in a statistically rigorous way. The output is a distribution in the axis ratio plane giving the probability that a given intrinsic shape, projected at random, will match the observations. Three applications are presented: first, to an 'observed' model, illustrating the sources of internal error; second, to a dark halo created in an N-body simulation, illustrating systematic difficulties; and third, to the E2 galaxy NGC 4589. The most probable values and approximate 1 sigma errors in the dynamical triaxiality T and the flattening of the light distribution CL are found to be T = 0.65+0.32-0.45, CL = 0.8+0.05-0.12, implying that NGC 4589 is probably prolate-triaxial. If mean velocities were measured with 10 km/s accuracy outside the rotation curve's turnover radius, the uncertainty could be reduced by a factor of approximately 2.

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