Time Evolution of Non-Lethal Infectious Diseases: A Semi-Continuous Approach

Biology – Quantitative Biology – Populations and Evolution

Scientific paper

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21 pages

Scientific paper

10.1140/epjb/e2006-00163-4

A model describing the dynamics related to the spreading of non-lethal infectious diseases in a fixed-size population is proposed. The model consists of a non-linear delay-differential equation describing the time evolution of the increment in the number of infectious individuals and depends upon a limited number of parameters. Predictions are in good qualitative agreement with data on influenza.

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