Statistics – Computation
Scientific paper
Nov 1994
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1994jgr....9923079t&link_type=abstract
Journal of Geophysical Research (ISSN 0148-0227), vol. 99, no. D11, p. 23,079-23,088
Statistics
Computation
32
Atmospheric Density, Atmospheric Moisture, Atmospheric Pressure, Earth Atmosphere, Gravitational Effects, Planetary Mass, Water Vapor, Annual Variations, El Nino, Mixing Ratios, Topography
Scientific paper
Accurate but approximate formulae for determining the mass of the atmosphere in terms of the surface pressure P(sub s) are derived and applied to globally analyzed data from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for 1985 through 1993. The formulae take into account effects of the shape of the Earth and variations in gravity with latitude and height. Variations in total mass occur because of changes in the water vapor loading of the atmosphere. Independent computations are made of the surface pressure due to water vapor P(sub w), which is proportional to the precipitable water, using the ECMWF analyses of specific humidity. Spurious trends in both the mass of dry air and the atmospheric moisture are found to arise from changes in the analysis system at ECMWF, confounding attempts to seek real trends associated with climate change. For the recent 4-year period 1990 to 1993 the mean annual P(sub s) was 984.76 mbar with a maximum in July of 984.98 mbar and a minimum in December of 984.61 mbar which correspond to a total mean mass of the atmosphere of 5.1441 x 10(exp 18) kg with a range of 1.93 x 10(exp 15) kg throughout the year associated with changes in water vapor in the atmosphere. The global mean P(sub w) for 1985-1993 is 2.58 mbar, but values are 5 to 10% lower after mid-1992. Using the Special Sensor Microwave Imager data to make adjustments, the best estimate of the annual global P(sub w) is 2.4 mbar, corresponding to approximately 2.5 cm of precipitable water. The total atmospheric moisture as given by P(sub w) varies with an annual cycle range of 0.36 mbar, a maximum in July, and a minimum in December. Thus the mean mass of water vapor is 1.25 x 10(exp 16) kg and the dry air mass is 5.132 x 10(exp 18) kg, corresponding to a mean surface pressure of 982.4 mbar. Overall uncertainties are approximately 0.1 mbar or 0.5 x 10(exp 15) kg in total mass and about double those values for atmospheric moisture content. As well as the global means, hemispheric mean values and meridional profiles of P(sub 8) and P(sub w) are presented for the mean annual cycle and as latitude-time series to show the interannual and longer-term variability.
Guillemot Christian J.
Trenberth Kevin E.
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