The Financial Bubble Experiment: advanced diagnostics and forecasts of bubble terminations

Details The Financial Bubble Experiment: advanced diagnostics and forecasts of bubble terminations The Financial Bubble Experiment: advanced diagnostics and forecasts of bubble terminations

2009-11-02

arxiv.org/abs/0911.0454v4

Economy

Quantitative Finance

Statistical Finance

20100514: Added final analysis and summary, including names of assets.

Scientific paper

On 2 November 2009, the Financial Bubble Experiment was launched within the Financial Crisis Observatory (FCO) at ETH Zurich (\url{http://www.er.ethz.ch/fco/}). In that initial report, we diagnosed and announced three bubbles on three different assets. In this latest release of 23 December 2009 in this ongoing experiment, we add a diagnostic of a new bubble developing on a fourth asset.

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