Other
Scientific paper
Oct 2000
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2000georl..27.3049d&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 27, Issue 19, p. 3049-3052
Other
9
Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Convective Processes, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Tropical Meteorology
Scientific paper
The impact of enhanced carbon dioxide concentrations on deep tropical convection (DTC) is explored using the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Climate System Model (CSM1) model. A 134-year simulation in which CO2 concentrations increase 1% year-1 is analyzed. With approximately present-day CO2 concentrations (367 ppmv) the CSM1 simulation captures the observed relationship between outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) and sea-surface temperature (SST) in the tropics. The temperature threshold for deep convection in the model is approximately 24.75°C. As CO2 concentrations increase, the simulated threshold temperature for tropical convection progressively increases to ~25.55°C and 26.55°C at 2×CO2 (year 80) and 3.4×CO2 (year 133). The fully coupled climate model response to increased CO2 concentrations implies that the expansion of the 26°C isotherm, the present-day observed threshold, will not yield an expansion of the regions of DTC.
Dutton Jan F.
Evans Jenni L.
Poulsen Chris J.
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