The Black Mountain asperity - Seismic hazard of the southern San Francisco Peninsula, California

Details The Black Mountain asperity - Seismic hazard of the southern San Francisco Peninsula, California The Black Mountain asperity - Seismic hazard of the southern San Francisco Peninsula, California

Oct 1985

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1985georl..12..717s&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters (ISSN 0094-8276), vol. 12, Oct. 1985, p. 717-719.

Mathematics

Probability

20

California, Earthquakes, San Andreas Fault, Seismology, Hazards, Maps, Mountains

Scientific paper

A slip deficit region running 75 km from Black Mountain south of Palo Alto to San Juan Battista is studied to assess earthquake hazard. If this region were ruptured in its entirety, the event would produce a M-sub-s = 6.9 earthquake. The conditional probability of this rupturing in the near future is the highest of any section of the San Andreas fault except Parkfield. This earthquake would rupture 30 km farther northwest and be about 3 times larger than that previously proposed by others (Lindh, 1983, and Sykes and Nishenko, 1984). This constitutes a greater risk to the southern San Francisco Peninsula than previously expected.

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