The Berlin temperature record (German Title: Die Berliner Temperaturreihe)

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Scientific paper

The climate change in the region Berlin-Brandenburg is compared with the globally observed climate change. A temperature record extending for more than 300 years, including the notes by Gottfried Kirch, and a precipitation record longer than 100 years indicate that the climate change can be seen in the climate record of Berlin-Brandenburg as well, where the temperature is currently rising with 0.16° C per decade. The total number of frost days has declined by almost 17 days during the recent century; the number of summer days has increased by about 12 days during the same time. The annual mean precipitation has hardly changed (less than 0.2%) during the recent century. However, in summer the rain has decreased by about 4% and in winter increased by 3%. Model projections indicate that the warming will continue so that Berlin-Brandenburg will experience a temperature rise of about 3 - 3.5° C by the end of this century for the IPCC scenario A1B. For the same scenario the precipitation will increase in winter by 10 - 20% and decrease in summer by 10 - 30%: The seasonal precipitation changes compensate each other resulting in an almost unchanged annual mean.

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