Synthetic solar X-ray flares time series since AD 1968 /s2

Details Synthetic solar X-ray flares time series since AD 1968 /s2 Synthetic solar X-ray flares time series since AD 1968 /s2

2010-07-16

arxiv.org/abs/1007.2735v2

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astrophysics

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics

19 pages, 5 figures, 4 tables + Appendix A,B and C

Scientific paper

On the base of the most qualitative GOES satellites data for the period AD 1980-2009 and multiple regression model the "synthetic" series of the monthly numbers of soft X-ray flares (separately for the classes C, M, X and total numbers) were built for the epoch AD 1968-2009. The earlier parts of the series before AD 1980 were derived on the base of the mentioned model . The monthly numbers of radio bursts at four frequencies (29-33, 609, 8800 and 15400 MHz) and the radio flux at 2800 MHz (F10.7) are used as factors. The relationships are very strong (correlation coefficients R are from 0.79 to 0.93 and Snedekor-Fisher's F parameter is in the range of 2.5-7). The earlier GOES X-ray data (AD 1975-1979) and the older SOLRAD satellite data (AD 1968-1974) are not enough certain, which suggests a probable reduction effect because of the low instrumental sensitivity. It has also been found that the relatively weak sunspot Zurich cycle No 20 is essentially richer of flares of the strongest class X than the next three cycles No 21-23.

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