Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astrophysics
Scientific paper
Jun 2007
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2007chjaa...7..441l&link_type=abstract
Chinese Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics, Volume 7, Issue 3, pp. 441-447 (2007).
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Astrophysics
12
Scientific paper
A method combining the support vector machine (SVM) the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), labelled the SVM-KNN method, is used to construct a solar flare forecasting model. Based on a proven relationship between SVM and KNN, the SVM-KNN method improves the SVM algorithm of classification by taking advantage of the KNN algorithm according to the distribution of test samples in a feature space. In our flare forecast study, sunspots and 10 cm radio flux data observed during Solar Cycle 23 are taken as predictors, and whether an M class flare will occur for each active region within two days will be predicted. The SVM-KNN method is compared with the SVM and Neural networks-based method. The test results indicate that the rate of correct predictions from the SVM-KNN method is higher than that from the other two methods. This method shows promise as a practicable future forecasting model.
Cui Yan-Mei
He Han
Li Rong
Wang Hua-Ning
Zhan-LeDu
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