Statistics of infections with diversity in the pathogenicity

Details Statistics of infections with diversity in the pathogenicity Statistics of infections with diversity in the pathogenicity

2004-07-30

arxiv.org/abs/q-bio/0407042v1

Biology

Quantitative Biology

Populations and Evolution

Scientific paper

The statistics of outbreaks in a model for the propagation of meningococcal diseases is analyzed, taking into account the possibility that the population is fragmented into weakly connected patches. It is shown that, depending on the size of of the sample studied, the ratio between the variance and the mean of infected cases can vary from one (Poisson statistics) to the inverse of the infection rate.

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