Space weather and influenza epidemic in Azerbaijan during last 25 years

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Space Weather

Scientific paper

For purposes of studying of possible influence of the solar and geomagnetic activity on influenza diseases and epidemic, the data covering the time period of 1976 - 2000 is analyzed. Period, duration, intensity and seasonal behavior of the influenza epidemic, tendency of its beginning within a solar cycle are determined for the Absheron Peninsula area including the capital city Baku with millions of inhabitants. Investigations reveal that influenza epidemic usually begins 2 - 3 years before and/or 2 - 3 years after the sunspot cycle maximum. We suppose that solar activity affects the influenza epidemic mainly through geomagnetic activity (magnetic storms). Forecast method for prophylactic measures is developed for considered region. Obtained results are interpreted and compared with similar ones.

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