Solar Variability and the Search for Corresponding Climate Signals

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Scientific paper

Instrumental and paleodata from the last centuries are investigated to get circumstantial evidence for external influences on the Earth's climate machine. Such influences could be of extraterrestrial and/or anthropogenic origin. Anthropogenic influences are separated from solar on superdecadal time scales and on a hemispheric level using a non-linear regression model. The function to be explained is the northern hemispheric temperature. The model contains two forcing components explicitly: A parameterized anthropogenic component, which describes the aggregated effect of greenhouse gases, aerosols and other anthropogenic climate impacts. A solar component, which describes the solar variability history. The solution of the regression model allows, under certain assumptions, a functional separation of the variability components and provides an estimation of their relative contributions to global warming during the last 140 years.

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