Short-time-scale features of the Earth's polar motion

Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy

Scientific paper

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Astrometry And Reference Systems

Scientific paper

The fundamental astrometric problem of high-accuracy interpolation and forecasting of the Earth’s polar motion on short time scales from 1-2 to 10-30 days is studied. Hierarchies of interval length and parameter accuracy are established using appropriate models for the process. Filtering algorithms are adjusted using a weighted least squares fit of measurements of the International Earth Rotation Service (IERS). Best-fit estimates for the main features of the motion are obtained for various time intervals; interpolations and forecasts are compared with the IERS measurements.

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