Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Jun 1979
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1979jgr....84.2539m&link_type=abstract
Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 84, June 1, 1979, p. 2539-2544.
Mathematics
Probability
Earth-Moon System, Geomagnetism, Solar Eclipses, Solar Terrestrial Interactions, Probability Theory, Statistical Correlation, Statistical Tests, Tables (Data)
Scientific paper
A survey of the geomagnetic Ci index for the years 1906-1976 (164 eclipses) was performed by using a modified version of the t test for the difference of two means to define eclipse departure probability (P sub d). Eclipse epoch Ci changes are shown to satisfy a simple probabilistic model composed of two events: one due to eclipse E and another due to a 'background' of zero ecliptic latitude Ci fluctuations. It is shown that the derived mean P sub d(E) value is consistent with a simple statistical occultation model and the P sub d derived from geomagnetic effects observed during one total solar eclipse. The large and persistent conditional probabilities, however, appear to require some sort of geomagnetic reverberation effect between the earth and moon.
Blazejewski A. F.
Meisel David D.
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