Astronomy and Astrophysics – Astronomy
Scientific paper
Apr 2004
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2004geoji.157..194c&link_type=abstract
Geophysical Journal International, Volume 157, Issue 1, pp. 194-199.
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Astronomy
7
Earthquake Prediction, Shear-Wave Splitting, Statistical Methods
Scientific paper
Seher & Main claim to make a statistical evaluation of successful stress-forecast of the time and magnitude of an earthquake in SW Iceland. A statistical evaluation of the data would be valuable, but unfortunately Seher & Main cannot do this as techniques have not yet been developed for the statistical analysis of discontinuous time-series within an overall continuous data set. Consequently, Seher & Main devise their own models of continuous time-series that are fundamentally different from those of our hypothesis. Seher & Main also briefly suggest several other concepts, which are serious misunderstandings of the stress-forecasting process. Consequently, their results and conclusions are unfortunately irrelevant to evaluating either the hypothesis or the stress-forecast.
Crampin Stuart
Stefánsson Ragnar
Volti Theodora
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