Radiation Belt and Ring Current Forecasting Model

Mathematics – Logic

Scientific paper

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2720 Energetic Particles, Trapped, 2722 Forecasting, 2753 Numerical Modeling, 2778 Ring Current

Scientific paper

A model has been developed to predict the radiation belt and ring current environment. The core of this forecasting model is a kinetic model, which solves the convection-diffusion equation of particle distributions at 10 keV to MeV energy range. This forecasting model is solely driven by the solar wind and IMF conditions. We will present the model logic, and the model validation by comparing measured particle fluxes during several magnetic storms with model calculations. In addition, we will estimate the radiation dose collected during these active periods. Finally, future development of this forecasting model will be discussed.

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