Prediction of basic elements of the forthcoming solar cycles 24 and 25 (years 2005-2027)

Details Prediction of basic elements of the forthcoming solar cycles 24 and 25 (years 2005-2027) Prediction of basic elements of the forthcoming solar cycles 24 and 25 (years 2005-2027)

Aug 2006

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2006aipc..848..154t&link_type=abstract

RECENT ADVANCES IN ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS: 7th International Conference of the Hellenic Astronomical Society. AIP Conferenc

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Astrophysics

4

Sun Spots, Solar Cycles

Scientific paper

Fundamental parameters of a solar cycle could be predicted if we take in mind an existed interdependence between successive 11-year and 22-year cycles. Elements which could be predicted are, the time of rise, the total duration and the yearly values of the activity on the maximum and minimum epochs of the cycles as well as the time of maximum and the second minimum. Predicted values of these parameters for the cycles No. 24 (2005-2016) and 25 (2016-2027) are tabulated in this contribution. The small value of standard error (high coincidence between observed and calculated values) which has been succeeded during the application of the present method in the past solar cycles implies success of the proposed method of prediction for the forthcoming cycles.

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