Mathematics – Probability
Scientific paper
Sep 1974
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1974amst.iafct....b&link_type=abstract
International Astronautical Federation, International Astronautical Congress, 25th, Amsterdam, Netherlands, Sept. 30-Oct. 5, 197
Mathematics
Probability
Collision Rates, Earth Orbits, Probability Theory, Impact Prediction, Orbital Position Estimation, Population Theory, Safety Factors, Satellite Orbits, Space Debris, Space Environment Simulation, Spacecraft Orbits, Tables (Data), Tracking (Position)
Scientific paper
A probabilistic approach to the problem of collisions is made possible by basing a model of the relevant characteristics of the total population on the known properties of a fraction of the total. A method of determining collision probability for objects in any two different but potentially intersecting orbits is derived. Collision probabilities for earth-orbital missions are investigated parametrically as a function of orbital characteristics and a hypothetical projection of the results to future orbital missions is discussed.
Bess T. D.
Brooks D. R.
Gibson Gary G.
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