Predicting land-surface climates-better skill or moving targets?

Details Predicting land-surface climates-better skill or moving targets? Predicting land-surface climates-better skill or moving targets?

Jul 2003

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2003georl..30nhls6h&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 30, Issue 14, pp. HLS 6-1, CiteID 1777, DOI 10.1029/2003GL017387

Mathematics

Logic

15

Atmospheric Composition And Structure: Biosphere/Atmosphere Interactions, Hydrology: Hydroclimatology, Meteorology And Atmospheric Dynamics: Boundary Layer Processes, Hydrology: Soil Moisture, Global Change: Climate Dynamics (3309)

Scientific paper

Uncertainty in the prediction of continental surface climates is identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as limiting our confidence in projecting future climates. To reduce this uncertainty, the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) Diagnostic Subproject 12 (DSP 12) and the Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterisation Schemes (PILPS) have used a substantially improved experimental design, coupled with a greater variety of land-surface schemes (LSSs) represented in AMIP II, to investigate whether the thirty years of effort in land surface modelling has led to improvements in simulations of continental surface processes. In AMIP II, we find a clear chronological sequence of: First generation `no canopy' second generation `SiBlings' and `recent schemes'. We conclude that three decades have improved continental surface modelling capability but that full confidence in our ability to project land-surface quantities using climate models remains elusive, in part due to uncertainties in surface observations.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Predicting land-surface climates-better skill or moving targets? does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Predicting land-surface climates-better skill or moving targets?, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Predicting land-surface climates-better skill or moving targets? will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-1467802