PREDICCS: Predictions of Radiation from REleASE, EMMREM, and Data Incorporating CRaTER, COSTEP (EPHIN), and other SEP measurements

Details PREDICCS: Predictions of Radiation from REleASE, EMMREM, and Data Incorporating CRaTER, COSTEP (EPHIN), and other SEP measurements PREDICCS: Predictions of Radiation from REleASE, EMMREM, and Data Incorporating CRaTER, COSTEP (EPHIN), and other SEP measurements

Dec 2011

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2011agufmsm31b2116m&link_type=abstract

American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2011, abstract #SM31B-2116

Mathematics

Logic

[7924] Space Weather / Forecasting, [7938] Space Weather / Impacts On Humans, [7959] Space Weather / Models, [7984] Space Weather / Space Radiation Environment

Scientific paper

Accurate models for the radiation environment through the heliosphere are necessary for future manned missions. PREDICCS will be an on-line system - available for scientists and the public - to predict and forecast the radiation environment through interplanetary space. It integrates two radiation environment models with Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) measurements: the Earth-Moon-Mars Radiation Environment Module (EMMREM) and the Relativistic Electron Alert System for Exploration (REleASE) and incorporates data from the CRaTER and COSTEP (EPHIN) instruments, and other SEP measurements. REleASE very accurately forecasts SEP events up to one and a half hours ahead of the event itself [1]. The EMMREM model predicts the real-time radiation environment using two modules: the Energetic Particle Radiation Environment Module (EPREM) and the Baryon Transport Module (BRYNTRN) [2]. We combine these two models to nowcast and forecast the radiation environment at various observers (Earth, Moon, Mars, and at specific target observers such as comets and asteroids) and for future SEP events. Validation of these models requires data from CRaTER, COSTEP (EPHIN), and other SEP measurements. CRaTER characterizes the lunar radiation environment and its biological impacts with LET (Linear Energy Transfer) spectra of galactic and solar cosmic rays [3] and COSTEP (EPHIN) measures relativistic electrons and deka-MeV protons and helium [4]. We have done preliminary comparisons of a recent, albeit small, SEP event from early June 2011 that has shown excellent agreement with EMMREM predictions. This event has been well observed by CRaTER and a number of other instruments and is the first "significant" event as we come out of the longest and deepest solar minimum in the space age. Additional observations of SEP events in the near future will help to fine tune the models in order to predict the radiation environment with more confidence. This will be an invaluable resource for all that are concerned with the radiation environment throughout our solar system.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

PREDICCS: Predictions of Radiation from REleASE, EMMREM, and Data Incorporating CRaTER, COSTEP (EPHIN), and other SEP measurements does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with PREDICCS: Predictions of Radiation from REleASE, EMMREM, and Data Incorporating CRaTER, COSTEP (EPHIN), and other SEP measurements, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and PREDICCS: Predictions of Radiation from REleASE, EMMREM, and Data Incorporating CRaTER, COSTEP (EPHIN), and other SEP measurements will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-1890653