Potentialities of Lunar Laser Ranging for Measuring Tectonic Motions

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Scientific paper

The lunar laser-ranging system at McDonald Observatory, Texas, is currently attaining accuracies of ± 15 cm, and ± 3 cm appears feasible. Numerical error analyses containing 97 parameters (35 of them for error sources) indicate that the ± 3 cm system would measure station motions to ± 1 cm/year accuracy within a year for east-west motions and within about 3 years for north-south. Furthermore, the correlations of station motions with other parameters are low, so that it is unlikely that the estimate is too optimistic because of modelling inadequacies of the error analysis.

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