Plausible models for propagation of the SARS virus

Details Plausible models for propagation of the SARS virus Plausible models for propagation of the SARS virus

2003-12-19

arxiv.org/abs/q-bio/0312029v1

Biology

Quantitative Biology

Populations and Evolution

Scientific paper

Using daily infection data for Hong Kong we explore the validity of a variety of models of disease propagation when applied to the SARS epidemic. Surrogate data methods show that simple random models are insufficient and that the standard epidemic susceptible-infected-removed model does not fully account for the underlying variability in the observed data. As an alternative, we consider a more complex small world network model and show that such a structure can be applied to reliably produce simulations quantitative similar to the true data. The small world network model not only captures the apparently random fluctuation in the reported data, but can also reproduces mini-outbreaks such as those caused by so-called ``super-spreaders'' and in the Hong Kong housing estate Amoy Gardens.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Plausible models for propagation of the SARS virus does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Plausible models for propagation of the SARS virus, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Plausible models for propagation of the SARS virus will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-199126