Mathematics – Logic
Scientific paper
Dec 2002
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2002aas...201.9905g&link_type=abstract
American Astronomical Society, 201st AAS Meeting, #99.05; Bulletin of the American Astronomical Society, Vol. 34, p.1267
Mathematics
Logic
Scientific paper
We study the effect on the Earth's atmosphere of irradiation by cosmic and gamma radiation from a nearby supernova (SN). As first proposed by Ruderman in 1974, enhanced irradiation of the upper atmosphere catalyzes nitrogen oxides which react with and reduce the ozone levels in the stratosphere. We improve on previous work by using the latest Goddard two-dimensional atmospheric photochemical transport code and gamma-data from SN 1987A. Two contributions to the irradiation of the upper atmosphere are considered: a short-lived gamma-ray blast (300 d) and a longer-lived cosmic-ray component (20 yr). The total energies in these components are ~ 2 x 1047 ergs and ~ 4 x 1049 ergs, respectively. We find that, for a SN to be strong enough to roughly halve the nominal ozone column density, it must occur within about 8 pc. Recent work by Madronich et al. shows that a halving of the ozone column would roughly double the "biologically active" UV radiation reaching the surface and produce a significant perturbation in a representative sampling of life forms. The latest SN data indicates a galactic-averaged rate of such nearby SNe to be about 1.5 per Gyr. When combined with the fact that multicellular life on Earth has existed for the past 0.5 Gyr, we conclude that this particular pathway to extinction may be less important than previously thought.
Cannizzo John Kendall
Gehrels Neil
Jackman Charles H.
Laird Claude M.
Mattson Barbara J.
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