On the statistical significance of excess events: Remarks of caution and the need for a standard method of calculation

Details On the statistical significance of excess events: Remarks of caution and the need for a standard method of calculation On the statistical significance of excess events: Remarks of caution and the need for a standard method of calculation

Aug 1985

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1985icrc....3..477s&link_type=abstract

In NASA. Goddard Space Flight Center 19th Intern. Cosmic Ray Conf., Vol. 3 p 477-480 (SEE N85-34862 23-93)

Statistics

Computation

Computation, Cosmic Ray Showers, Data Processing, Monte Carlo Method, Normal Density Functions, Poisson Density Functions, Probability Theory, Standard Deviation, Statistical Analysis, Stochastic Processes, Light Curve, Line Spectra, Point Sources, X Ray Astronomy

Scientific paper

Methods for calculating the statistical significance of excess events
and the interpretation of the formally derived values are discussed. It
is argued that a simple formula for a conservative estimate should
generally be used in order to provide a common understanding of quoted
values.

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