On the prediction of fluxes of the non-flare microwave radiation of the Sun at λ10.7 cm.

Mathematics – Logic

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

On the basis of daily measurements of the total radiation flux at 10.7 cm a possibility is investigated of the morphologic short and middle term prediction of the fluxes F10.7(t) using some statistic parameters of their quasi-27-day variations. A method is proposed for the prediction of the moment tmax of the peak value of the F10.7 in the current solar rotation. It is shown that it is possible to predict tmin with acceptable reliability when some additional data are included into consideration. It has been found from examination of the method that it provides a successful prediction of the tmin for 98, 95 and 84% of the cases within an uncertainty of 5.3 and 2 days respectively.

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