Mathematics – Logic
Scientific paper
Jul 1992
adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=1992bsold...7...76i&link_type=abstract
Byulletin Solnechnye Dannye Akademie Nauk USSR, No. 7/92, p. 76 - 82
Mathematics
Logic
Scientific paper
On the basis of daily measurements of the total radiation flux at 10.7 cm a possibility is investigated of the morphologic short and middle term prediction of the fluxes F10.7(t) using some statistic parameters of their quasi-27-day variations. A method is proposed for the prediction of the moment tmax of the peak value of the F10.7 in the current solar rotation. It is shown that it is possible to predict tmin with acceptable reliability when some additional data are included into consideration. It has been found from examination of the method that it provides a successful prediction of the tmin for 98, 95 and 84% of the cases within an uncertainty of 5.3 and 2 days respectively.
Ivanov-Kholodnyj G. S.
Nikol'skaya Komunela I.
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