On RCM-based projections of change in southern African summer climate

Details On RCM-based projections of change in southern African summer climate On RCM-based projections of change in southern African summer climate

Dec 2005

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2005georl..3223713t&link_type=abstract

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 32, Issue 23, CiteID L23713

Mathematics

Logic

12

Global Change: Impacts Of Global Change (1225), Global Change: Regional Climate Change, Atmospheric Processes: Climate Change And Variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513), Atmospheric Processes: Regional Modeling

Scientific paper

Two regional climate models (RCMs) are used to downscale 10 years of control and 10 years of future (2070-2079) southern African climate, as simulated by the HadAM3 general circulation model forced with the A2 SRES emissions scenario. Changes in early and late summer season total rainfall, rain days and average surface temperature are presented for the projected future climate. The two RCMs indicate broadly consistent changes over the region as a whole. However, time- and location-dependent differences are apparent, especially in the simulated magnitude of change, due to different representations of each model's internal physics and local hydrological cycle.

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