On forecasting solar proton events using a ground-based neutron monitor

Details On forecasting solar proton events using a ground-based neutron monitor On forecasting solar proton events using a ground-based neutron monitor

Aug 2011

adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-data_query?bibcode=2011sosyr..45..354v&link_type=abstract

Solar System Research, Volume 45, Issue 4, pp.354-364

Computer Science

Scientific paper

Results of applying the method developed for early warning about arrival of ˜10-100-MeV proton fluxes to the Earth after powerful eruptive events on the Sun, which uses the real time observable data received by the global network of ground-based neutron monitors (Mavromichalaki et al., 2009), are discussed. The retrospective analysis and comparison to the 2001-2006 observations indicate that more than 50% of solar proton events were omitted in such a forecasting method. For higher reliability, it is necessary to use additional data on the state of solar and heliospheric activity.

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