Monitoring Earth orientation through the end of the century

Computer Science

Scientific paper

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Scientific paper

In 1992 Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) is the ``method of choice'' to monitor polar motion (PM), Universal Time (UT1), precession and nutation. International VLBI networks routinely produce PM and nutation values accurate to 0.3-0.5 milli-arc-seconds (mas) and UT1 accurate to 0.05 milliseconds (ms), at 3.5 day intervals, and daily UT1 values accurate to 0.05-0.10 ms. Only cost considerations prevent sub-daily PM and UT determinations. Future improvements in VLBI should achieve 0.05-0.10 mas accuracies, and near real time correlation could reduce processing delays to 24 hours; the Global Positioning System (GPS) may provide PM at 2-6 hour intervals, while single baseline VLBI observations could provide UT1 values at comparable intervals. Eventually the combination of real-time processing of GPS plus superfluid gyroscope data may provide nearly continuous PM and UT1 tracks for periods of weeks; infrequent VLBI sessions will be needed for monitoring precession, nutation, and the celestial and terrestrial reference frames.

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