Modeling Dengue Outbreaks

Details Modeling Dengue Outbreaks Modeling Dengue Outbreaks

2010-12-06

arxiv.org/abs/1012.1281v1

Biology

Quantitative Biology

Populations and Evolution

18 pages, 6 figures, submited to Mathematical Biosciences

Scientific paper

We introduce a dengue model (SEIR) where the human individuals are treated on an individual basis (IBM) while the mosquito population, produced by an independent model, is treated by compartments (SEI). We study the spread of epidemics by the sole action of the mosquito. Exponential, deterministic and experimental distributions for the (human) exposed period are considered in two weather scenarios, one corresponding to temperate climate and the other to tropical climate. Virus circulation, final epidemic size and duration of outbreaks are considered showing that the results present little sensitivity to the statistics followed by the exposed period provided the median of the distributions are in coincidence. Only the time between an introduced (imported) case and the appearance of the first symptomatic secondary case is sensitive to this distribution. We finally show that the IBM model introduced is precisely a realization of a compartmental model, and that at least in this case, the choice between compartmental models or IBM is only a matter of convenience.

Affiliated with

Also associated with

No associations

Rating

Modeling Dengue Outbreaks does not yet have a rating. At this time, there are no reviews or comments for this scientific paper.

If you have personal experience with Modeling Dengue Outbreaks, we encourage you to share that experience with our LandOfFree.com community. Your opinion is very important and Modeling Dengue Outbreaks will most certainly appreciate the feedback.

Rate now

Comments { 0 }

Profile ID: LFWR-SCP-O-168552